Data & Methodology Audit

We hold the FireRisk to a standard most risk tools don't publish: every dataset is a primary government source, every external link is verified to its official owner, and the scoring model is documented down to the arithmetic.

✓ Last audited June 2026Model v2.0 (2026-06)

Every source, verified & linked

The primary datasets behind FireRisk. Every link below was verified to resolve to its official owner in June 2026.

Role: Heaviest-weighted score input (44%)Vintage: 2024 model
Role: Recorded fire history, distance-decayed (30%)Vintage: Through 2024
Role: Slope & terrain (14%)Vintage: Current
Role: County wildfire Risk Index / exposure (12%)Vintage: 2023 release
CAL FIRE / OSFM Fire Hazard Severity Zones ↗Regulatory — Ch. 7A, PRC 4291, AB 38
Role: California legal hazard designation (shown, not scored)Vintage: SRA 2024 · LRA 2025
Role: Live Red Flag Warnings & Fire Weather WatchesVintage: Live
Role: Live wildfire mapVintage: Live
Role: Live satellite fire detectionsVintage: Live (~3 hr)
AirNow (EPA) air quality ↗Authoritative · official
Role: Smoke / PM2.5 overlaysVintage: Live
Role: Underlies the USFS WRC risk/fuels modelingVintage: 2023
Role: Address → coordinates & countyVintage: Current

Live feeds are monitored around the clock — see real-time health on the system status page. When a feed is down, we say so and point you to the official source rather than showing stale data.

Scoring-model changelog

Dated record of what changed in the v2.0 (2026-06) model and why. The full math is on the methodology page.

Jun 2026

Continuous sub-score curves. Replaced the remaining binned look-ups (fire-history proximity, slope, fire size) with continuous interpolation, so a hair more distance or slope no longer jumps the score across a band edge.

Jun 2026

Recency as a multiplier. Fire-history recency now scales the base (≤1.0) instead of an additive bonus — a single decades-old burn no longer reads "High" on its own, while recent fires are unchanged.

Jun 2026

No fabricated terrain. When USGS terrain is unavailable, slope is dropped and weights renormalize — it is no longer assumed flat (which had biased scores down).

Jun 2026

Location-precision gate. A search that resolves only to a city/ZIP centroid (not a full street address) is flagged and its confidence capped at Moderate, so a centroid is never presented as a confident parcel score.

Jun 2026

FEMA "Insufficient Data" excluded. Counties FEMA rates "Insufficient Data"/"No Rating" are dropped rather than scored as a guessed middle value, and don’t count toward confidence.

The standard we hold every link and fact to

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Primary sources only. Every data point and external link resolves to a government or official agency (.gov / federal program) — the original owner of the data, not an aggregator.

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No proprietary or paywalled scores. We don’t resell a third-party black-box risk number. The FireRisk is computed only from open federal datasets, with the formula and raw values published.

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Dated and re-checked. Links and facts are re-verified on a schedule; this audit was last completed in June 2026. Live feeds are monitored continuously on our status page.

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We show our work. The full weighting, the renormalization rule, the raw RPS value, and the confidence level appear on the report and the methodology page — anyone can audit the math.

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Independent, with disclosure. FireRisk.ai is not an insurer, agent, or financial/tax advisor. Where we connect you with a partner (contractor, restoration, insurance), we disclose that we may be compensated. Editorial ratings are never sold.

See something off?

Accuracy is the product. If you find a broken link, a stale figure, or a source we should add, tell us and we'll verify and correct it.

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