Wildfire Risk in Show Low, AZ
Show Low sits on the Mogollon Rim in eastern Arizona’s White Mountains, a town so closely tied to wildfire that the 2002 Rodeo-Chediski Fire nearly forced its complete evacuation.
Risk Score
27/100
Moderate Risk
Wildfire hazard in Show Low
Show Low, Arizona is rated Moderate risk (27/100). Show Low sits in a moderate wildfire-hazard band — the zone where conditions in a bad wind or drought year matter most (a 27/100 FireRisk). the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities model rates the risk to structures here as Low, FEMA’s National Risk Index rates it Not available. Federal records show 14 wildfires within 25 miles since 2000 — the closest, the Bagnal (2019), burned about 5.9 miles away. Risk varies dramatically block to block, so the map shows the area while your exact address determines your true score.
Get the full report for your address →About wildfire risk in Show Low
Fire history
The 2002 Rodeo-Chediski Fire burned roughly 463,000 acres — the largest in Arizona history until 2011 — threatening to overrun Show Low and forcing the evacuation of some 30,000 residents across the region. Hundreds of homes were destroyed in nearby communities like Pinedale and Heber-Overgaard.
Terrain & fuels
Ponderosa pine and juniper cover the rim country at roughly 6,400 ft; decades of fire suppression built heavy fuel loads, and pre-monsoon winds drive fast, large fires.
Insurance outlook
Navajo County WUI homes face elevated premiums and selective non-renewals; defensible space and ember-resistant features are increasingly weighed by carriers.
Local programs & resources
- Firewise USA. A recognized community wildfire-mitigation program; participating neighborhoods can qualify for grants and, with some carriers, premium credits.
- Arizona DFFM. State WUI mitigation and cost-share resources.
Fire history near Show Low
14 federally recorded wildfires (2000–2024) within 25 miles. The closest is Bagnal (2019), 5.9 miles away. Tap any fire for quick facts.
Where this score falls
This score plotted on the full wildfire-risk scale.
Risk varies block to block in Show Low
This score is for the area. Your street, slope, and defensible space change it a lot — check your exact address for a free, instant home-level score, map, and report.
What Show Low wildfire risk means for your insurance
Total potential savings
$2,584/yr
Across 10 programs you may qualify for
$884recurring/yr
$8,500one-time grants
IBHS Wildfire Prepared Home™ Discount
5–25% premium reductionThe gold standard for wildfire home ratings. Major carriers (State Farm, Farmers, Nationwide, Allstate) offer 5–25% discounts for IBHS certification. A third-party inspector grades your home on five systems: roof, vent, deck, wall, and window glazing. Half-day inspection, long-lasting payoff.
✓ WUI homeowners nationwide — confirm discount with your carrier before scheduling inspection
Firewise USA Community Discount
5–15% premium reductionResidents of NFPA-recognized Firewise USA communities qualify for discounts from State Farm, Farmers, and many regional carriers. Over 1,600 communities are recognized nationwide. Check firewise.org/find-a-firewise-community to see if yours qualifies.
✓ Residents of officially recognized Firewise USA communities — verify with your carrier
Documented Defensible Space Discount
5–12% premium reductionMost WUI carriers offer standalone discounts for documented Zone 1, 2 & 3 clearance — no full IBHS cert required. Submit dated before/after photos plus a contractor invoice or county assessment letter to your agent.
✓ Contact your carrier — requires written documentation of Zone 1 (0–5ft), Zone 2 (5–30ft), and Zone 3 (30–100ft) clearance
Class A Fire-Rated Roofing Discount
3–8% premium reductionMetal, concrete tile, or Class A composition shingles eliminate ember ignition from above and qualify for carrier discounts in all wildfire states. Provide your carrier a letter from the roofing contractor confirming the UL Class A rating.
✓ New or recently replaced roofs — ask your carrier for their fire-rating documentation requirements
Home Hardening & Fire-Resistant Materials Discount
3–12% premium reductionDocumenting fire-resistant upgrades — fiber cement siding, metal gutters, dual-pane tempered windows, enclosed eaves, and 1/16" ember-resistant vents — can qualify for additional carrier discounts. Bundle with defensible space docs for maximum combined discount.
✓ Ask your carrier for their home hardening checklist and documentation requirements
USDA NRCS EQIP Fuels Reduction Grant
Up to $150,000 (agricultural)USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service pays 50–75% of wildfire-related conservation work (prescribed burns, thinning, silvopasture) on rural/agricultural land through the Environmental Quality Incentives Program. Application windows open annually in fall at local NRCS service centers.
✓ Agricultural producers and rural landowners — find your office at nrcs.usda.gov
AZ Dept. of Forestry & Fire Management Grant
Up to $5,000Arizona DFFM administers USDA SFA grants for fuels reduction and home hardening in WUI communities. Priority areas: White Mountains, Prescott Highlands, Flagstaff, and Rim Country. Apply at dffm.az.gov. Yarnell Hill and Monument fire areas have dedicated programs.
✓ Arizona WUI private landowners — dffm.az.gov
USDA Forest Service State Fire Assistance
Varies (state forestry passthrough)USDA Forest Service allocates State Fire Assistance (SFA) grants to every state forestry agency, which then distributes them as cost-share programs and grants to private landowners. This is the funding backbone for most state-level wildfire programs listed below.
✓ Apply through your state's forestry agency — universally available in all 50 states
Four Forest Restoration Initiative (4FRI) Adjacency Benefit
Community risk reductionThe 4FRI is the largest ponderosa pine restoration project in US history, treating 2.4 million acres across Coconino, Apache, Navajo, and Yavapai counties. Properties adjacent to treated areas can document proximity to 4FRI work for carrier risk reduction discounts.
✓ Properties within 1 mile of 4FRI treatment areas — document with your carrier
Arizona Fire Safe Council Local Rebates
Varies by county ($500–2,000)Fire Safe Councils in Yavapai, Maricopa, Pinal, and Coconino counties run rebate programs for defensible space and home hardening. The Prescott area program (post-Yarnell Hill fire) is particularly well-funded. Visit azfiresafe.com for current contacts.
✓ Arizona WUI homeowners — check with your county fire district
Savings are estimates. Verify current amounts with your insurance carrier, CSFS district office, or tax professional before committing to work.
What wildfire risk does to this home's value
Beyond premiums, wildfire risk is capitalized into market value — buyers pay less for homes that cost more to insure and carry a disclosed hazard. Adjust the value below to estimate the impact on a moderate-risk home.
Estimated value impact
−$0 to −$4K
roughly 0.0%–1.0% of value
The durable effect of a standing moderate-risk designation — not the larger, temporary drop right after a nearby fire, which typically recovers in 1–3 years.
Insurance carrying cost
~$181/yr
Estimated added wildfire premium. Capitalized at a 7% rate, that recurring cost alone reduces value by about $2,586 — the mechanism behind much of the discount.
Market & disclosure discount
0.0%–1.0%
Peer-reviewed CA data finds homes with a disclosed wildfire hazard sell for ~4–6% less; Redfin finds high-risk ZIPs now trade at a discount after years of slower appreciation.
Estimate, not an appraisal. Modeled from your risk tier and an adjustable home value, using insurance-cost capitalization and published wildfire price-discount research (Land Economics 2024 / RFF; GAO-26-107867; Redfin; Eastman-Kim 2024). Individual homes vary with hardening, views, and local demand. Methodology & sources on the methodology page.
Moderate risk today. Fire season is getting longer every year.
Risk classifications can change after a single bad fire season. Lock in favorable rates now, before your ZIP is reclassified.
What happens if you wait
High-risk homeowners have faced steep rate increases in recent years. Non-standard market policies — when you can find them — often cost substantially more.
Insurers have filed hundreds of thousands of non-renewals in fire-risk areas in recent years. Notices typically arrive ~60 days before expiration.
IBHS-certified homes may qualify for premium reductions with participating carriers. Discounts vary by carrier, state, and property.
Research suggests homes with elevated fire risk can sell below comparable homes, as buyers price in insurance cost. Individual results vary.
See your options before rates change.
We compare wildfire-specialist carriers licensed in Arizona — including ones that still write moderate-risk homes — to find who covers you and what they charge. Free, no obligation.
$884/yr — typical savings when Arizona homeowners compare carriers.
“My insurer didn’t renew me after 11 years. FireRisk matched me with two carriers that same week — saving $2,100 a year now.”
Sarah K. · Boulder, CO · previously High Risk
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Lower your wildfire risk in Show Low
Get a certified fire mitigation contractor in Arizona
We connect you with vetted, locally-licensed crews who do the physical work that lowers your risk score — and document it so your insurer and Arizona's grant programs recognize it.
What your contractor handles
On-site evaluation of all three zones, documented to insurer and state standards.
Ladder-fuel removal, tree limbing, and brush clearing by trained crews.
Ember-resistant vents, gutter guards, and Zone 1 non-combustible retrofits.
Documentation that unlocks carrier discounts and state grant reimbursements.
Book a free defensible space assessment
Most certified contractors assess at no cost. The visit documents your property to the standard insurers require — and 1 of your recommended actions qualify for Arizona grant or rebate funding.
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✓ Serving Arizona
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Defensible space & home hardening →
The specific work that measurably lowers your score — with the grants and tax credits that pay for it.
Is there a fire near Show Low right now?
The map above shows active fires from NIFC. For live evacuation alerts, smoke, and incident updates, these official sources are the fastest:
Before the next Red Flag day
Know exactly how to protect your home in Show Low — free
Build a personalized, prioritized mitigation plan in 2 minutes — every step tied to the insurance discount, tax credit, and grant it unlocks. Then get a hand-checked shortlist of vetted local contractors to do the work.
Show Low wildfire FAQ
Is Show Low at risk for wildfires?
Yes — Show Low, Arizona carries a Moderate wildfire risk rating (27/100), so it faces some wildfire exposure. 14 wildfires have been recorded within 25 miles since 2000. Risk varies street by street, so check your exact address for a precise score.
Is Show Low in a high wildfire risk area?
Show Low, Arizona carries a Moderate wildfire risk rating (27/100) based on USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities, FEMA National Risk Index, terrain, and recorded fire history. Risk varies street by street — check your exact address for a precise score.
How do I check my home's wildfire risk in Show Low?
Enter your street address into FireRisk.ai for a free, instant report. It pulls federal data for your exact coordinates and returns a 0–100 risk score, a satellite map of your defensible-space zones, nearby fire history, and your insurance and mitigation options.
Does wildfire risk affect home insurance in Show Low?
Yes. Insurers price Arizona policies off the same federal hazard data in this report, and rising-risk areas have seen premium increases and non-renewals. Documenting defensible space and home hardening can unlock discounts and help keep coverage.
More wildfire risk in Arizona
Official Arizona resources
Know your home's exact wildfire risk
Street-level risk in Show Low varies enormously. Get your address's precise score, defensible-space map, and insurance options — free, in 30 seconds.
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